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U.S. non-farm payrolls hit in September, U.S. index breaks through 100 mark

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Platform]: The U.S. non-farm payrolls are xmtraders.coming in September, and the U.S. index breaks through the 100 mark." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

XM Review: The U.S.’s big non-farm payrolls are xmtraders.coming in September, and the U.S. index breaks through the 100 mark

The September non-farm payrolls report was supposed to be released on October 3, but due to the U.S. government shutdown in October, the release date was significantly delayed. The October non-farm employment report, which was also delayed by the government shutdown, has no specific release date. Some believe that this report will never be released because the basic data has not been collected.

▲XM Chart

The most watched data in the September non-agricultural employment report is the number of new non-agricultural employment, with the previous value of 22,000 and the expected value of 50,000. The expected increase is relatively large, but the absolute value is still low. In 2024, the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States reached a level of 323,000 people per month. However, the current increase of 22,000 people is less than a fraction of last year. Historical data shows that starting in May, the U.S. job market began to deteriorate. For four consecutive months, the number of new non-agricultural jobs was less than 100,000, and even negative in June. The main reason is that U.S. President Trump has severely cracked down on illegal immigration, resulting in a sharp decline in the immigrant xmtraders.component of new employment data, and the development of the U.S. AI industry has led to a decline in corporate recruitment. The poor employment situation has prompted the Federal Reserve to announce interest rate cuts at two interest rate decisions in September and October. If the situation cannot be improved, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again in December.

The published value of small non-agricultural ADP in September was -3.2 million, lower than the previous value of 54,000 and the expected value of 50,000, a poor performance. ADP data and non-agricultural data are linked, and it is expected that the new non-agricultural employment data in September may still be lower than the previous value of 22,000. If this is the case, the published value deviates seriously from the expected value. Expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December have risen sharply. The U.S. dollar index may suffer a serious impact, and gold, silver and non-U.S. currencies will benefit. Starting from the end of October, ADP began to release weekly employment data. The latest weekly data shows that the U.S. job market is losing 2,500 jobs per week. Judging from this, the U.S. job market in October was still bleak, and the macroeconomy still faces the risk of recession.

▲XM Chart

From a technical perspective, at the daily level, EURUSD is in the process of trending from bullish to bearish, and the falling band is suppressed by the red downward trend line in the chart. The blue MA10 moving average crosses each round of rising and falling bands, which means that the current downward trend is not smooth enough, and there are too many rebound bands and the amplitude is too large. The short-term support level is at 1.1467 points, and the medium-term support level is at 1.1390 points. The former is the low of the month, and the latter is the low of half a year. The US dollar index has an opposite trend to that of EURUSD and is currently bottoming out. Driven by non-farm payrolls expectations, the U.S. dollar index rose sharply yesterday, with the market price already standing above the 100 mark. If today's non-farm payrolls data cooperates, the U.S. index bulls are expected to continue.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the personal views of analysts and does not constitute any operational advice. Please do not rely on this report as your sole reference. Analysts' views may change at different times and will be updated without notice.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The U.S. non-farm payrolls are xmtraders.coming in September, and the U.S. index breaks through the 100 mark". It is carefully xmtraders.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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U.S. non-farm payrolls hit in September, U.S. index breaks through 100 mark

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U.S. non-farm payrolls hit in September, U.S. index breaks through 100 mark

Related News

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