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market analysis

4.14 Analysis of the rise and fall trend of gold and crude oil today and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions

Wonderful introduction:

A person's happiness may be false, and a group of people's happiness cannot tell whether it is true or false. They squandered their youth and wished they could burn it all, and that posture was like a carnival before the end of the world.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: Analysis of the 4.14 Gold and Crude Oil Today's Market Trend and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The investment market always has four levels: keeping the principal, controlling risks, earning profits, and making long-term and stable profits. Don’t determine the result because of the winning or losing of a day. Is it accidental or inevitable to make money, whether it is based on real effort or luck. Those who can survive in the market will definitely be investors who can eventually make long-term profits. Trading is a good habit, strictly implement your trading plan. A rigorous transaction = good mentality control + correct position control + strong technical skills, never force buying and selling for cooperation. Opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. The right choice is greater than a hundred times hard work. If you trust the teacher, I will give you a satisfactory return. You just need it, and I happen to be professional!

Analysis of the latest gold market trend:

Analysis of gold news: Last week, the gold market staged a thrilling bull carnival, with a strong rise of US$298 in a single week, and finally steadily closed at a very dominant big positive line. This positive line domineeringly xmtraders.completely engulfed the upper shadow of the inverted hammer last week, vividly demonstrating the absolute dominance of the bulls in this week's trading. Among the many xmtraders.complex factors that affect the trend of gold prices, tariff news is like a "visible hand", firmly controlling the pulse of the market.

From the current situation, if tariff policies are further tightened, the risk aversion in the global market will inevitably be ignited again, which will drive gold prices to continue to rise strongly. On the contrary, once the tariff policy shows signs of easing, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, falling rapidly or even falling into a plunge. Therefore, the key guidance for gold trends this week undoubtedly focuses on every subtle change in tariff news.

In this market, a tariff news has a great influence.It is enough to make all previous technical analysis and predictions instantly invalid. Looking back at the recent market, we can clearly see that in just three days, the price of gold first fell sharply by US$211, and then rebounded rapidly, soaring by US$2,275 in three days. Such violent and frequent price fluctuations are almost entirely driven by various types of news, once again highlighting the decisive role of the news in the current gold market.

Gold technical analysis: From a simple technical analysis perspective, the strong performance of the weekly big positive line clearly shows that the current bullish forces control the overall market structure. It is worth noting that in the past month, the Asian session has formed a unique pattern of opening must-rise. Going deeper into the market details, we can find that the low point of gold and US market 3220-3215 has become a key watershed between long and short strength. When the price runs above the area, the market shows obvious strong characteristics; once the price falls below this area, the market is very likely to turn to a weak pattern.

Similarly, the Asian session retracement low point 3185-3190 area also forms an important dividing line between long and short. The price remains above this area, and long positions dominate; if unfortunately falls below, the market is likely to quickly switch to the short position mode, and even trigger a rapid plunge. Looking ahead to the upper space, there is still great uncertainty. Investors can focus on the new high breakthrough situation in the 3245-3250 area, followed by the 3265-3260 area and the $3300 mark with important psychological significance. As various news emerged over the weekend, the opening performance of the gold market next week was particularly critical. Opening high, low or flat at the opening will be like the "barometer" of market sentiment, indicating varying degrees of risk preference and market expectations.

Although the current fluctuations in the gold market are severe, they are still slightly inferior to the crazyest period in history. Looking back at history, on January 21, 1980, the gold market staged a thrilling market. The price soared over $160 that day, from the lowest $685 per ounce to a high of $850. However, the market changed suddenly and the price plummeted rapidly by more than $100, and this fluctuation formed a market top for 30 years. Let’s look at April 2013 and on April 12, the price of gold fell from the highest $1,565 to the lowest $1,480, with a single-day decline of $85; just three days later, on April 15, the price of gold fell sharply again, from the highest $1,496 to $1,336, with a single-day decline of $160, and a cumulative decline of nearly $230 in two days. As the tariff war continues to develop in depth, the market generally expects that the gold market will usher in more crazy fluctuations in the next 1-2 weeks, and its rise and fall is expected to break the historical record, and investors need to keep it at all times.Be vigilant and respond cautiously to market changes. Overall, gold's short-term operation ideas today, He Bosheng recommends that pullbacks should be long and rebounds should be supplemented. The short-term focus on the upper short-term focus should be on the 3245-3255 line resistance, and the short-term focus should be on the 3200-3190 line support.

The latest market trend analysis of crude oil:

Crude oil news analysis: Trump announced a suspension of high tariffs on most countries for 90 days, but the total tax on Asian powers has increased to 145%, causing markets to worry again about global trade relations. The price of US WTI crude oil futures fell 2.28 US dollars to close at 60.07 US dollars, a drop of 3.7%; Brent crude oil fell 2.15 US dollars to 63.33 US dollars, a drop of 3.3%, giving up the previous day's gains; the market originally rebounded due to Trump's suspension of tariffs, but now it has fallen again, indicating that investors have lost confidence in the credibility of the policy. Behind the current fluctuations in international oil prices reflect the market's deep anxiety about the extreme uncertainty of global trade policies. Although Trump's "suspension + increase" approach stabilizes relations with African and Chinese economies in the short term, it also hits global supply chains and energy consumption confidence. If oil market inventory continues to rise and global manufacturing data is weak, oil prices running below $60 will likely become the new normal.

Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, crude oil has fallen below the lower edge of the range, and oil prices have reached around 60. The moving average system turns diverges downward, and the medium-term objective trend direction goes downward. Due to the downward trend caused by tariffs, pay attention to its continuity and further determine that the medium-term downward trend will fall to 55 or even 50. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell slightly, and oil prices fell back to half of the previous trading day. Oil prices cross the moving average system up and down, and the short-term objective trend direction enters a volatile rhythm. From the perspective of pattern, the short-term trend has shown a prototype of a head and shoulder bottom reversal pattern. The current trend is just around the right shoulder. It is expected that after a slight decline in the day, it will resume upward movement. Overall, in terms of today's operational ideas of crude oil, He Bosheng recommends that the main focus should be on the low-sinking back, and the rebound should be high-altitude as the auxiliary. The short-term focus should be on the 62.8-63.3 line of resistance above, and the short-term focus should be on the 60.0-59.5 line of support below.

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4.14 Analysis of the rise and fall trend of gold and crude oil today and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions

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The latest market trend analysis of crude oil:

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4.14 Analysis of the rise and fall trend of gold and crude oil today and the latest exclusive long and short operation suggestions

Analysis of the latest gold market trend:

The latest market trend analysis of crude oil:

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